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Messages - tlop

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1
International - Ajedrez date: 04/09/2019  hour: 18:00
VS
individual individual
Tip Win So HA0
Odds Stake 3/4 3
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Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Match corresponding to the round of 16 of the Speed Chess, for those who do not know it is an online tournament organized by the Chess.com platform. In this tournament there is the loss of the best player in the world as it sponsors the competition so it loses some level compared to other years.
 
 The games are distributed in 3 times (5 + 3, 3 + 2 and 1 + 1) and the one with the most points wins. The tournament has an important prize pool ($ 100,000 and they are distributed according to the victories). Winner: $ 1,000 and goes to the 2nd round and $ 1,000 distributed according to percentage of victories.
 
 Departure between Mamedyarov and So in which I will go with the American. Mame is not playing too well in the fast rhythms except for the tie-break in the Riga Grand Prix against Vachier in the Armageddon and the Altibox Norway Chess. In Paris it was 8th with only 3 points and in Saint Louis it was last with a sad point.
 
 Last year Mame did not pass the first round losing 15-17 to Giri, but his rival reached the final he lost to Naka. 18.5-9.5 against Wei Yi, 16.5-10.5 against Gujarathi, 22-7 before Duda and the final lost it by 15.5-12.5.
...

2
International - Ajedrez date: 04/09/2019  hour: 18:00
VS
individual individual
Tip Win Firouzja HA0
Odds Stake 9/7 1
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Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Match corresponding to the round of 16 of the Speed Chess, for those who do not know it is an online tournament organized by the Chess.com platform. In this tournament there is the loss of the best player in the world as it sponsors the competition so it loses some level compared to other years.
 
 The games are distributed in 3 times (5 + 3, 3 + 2 and 1 + 1) and the one with the most points wins. The tournament has an important prize pool ($ 100,000 and they are distributed according to the victories). Winner: $ 1,000 and goes to the 2nd round and $ 1,000 distributed according to percentage of victories.
 
 Departure between the Armenian Aronian against the young Iranian Firouzja. I'm going to go with the kid although with a low stake since Levon should win by game and seniority. The main reason I go with the kid is because I saw him play against Carlsen in the tournament organized by Lichess for graduates on Tuesdays and in 1 + 1 he had games where he passed over.
 
 I predict more as a recommendation than as a sure thing but Iranian if it continues like this it can be one of the players that I send in the chess world of here a few years and even occupy the site of the Norwegian genius.
...

3
International - Ajedrez date: 04/09/2019  hour: 18:00
VS
individual individual
WON
Tip Win Doubt HA0
Odds Stake 11/17 2.5
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Match corresponding to the round of 16 of the Speed Chess, for those who do not know it is an online tournament organized by the Chess.com platform. In this tournament there is the loss of the best player in the world as it sponsors the competition so it loses some level compared to other years.
 
 The games are distributed in 3 times (5 + 3, 3 + 2 and 1 + 1) and the one with the most points wins. The tournament has an important prize pool ($ 100,000 and they are distributed according to the victories). Winner: $ 1,000 and goes to the 2nd round and $ 1,000 distributed according to percentage of victories.
 
 Departure between Polish GM Jan-Krzysztof Duda and GM Anish Giri. My bet is the Polish, I have to admit that it is because I have some devotion, but also because in these game modes it is better than its rival (6th best player in the world).
 
 They have played 3 quick games with 2 wins for Duda, as for the ELO we have 2812 for Duda and 2750 for the Dutch.
 
 Last year Duda came to semis defeating Karjakin and Grischuk to lose in semis to So. His rival did not pass the quarterfinals when he was defeated by Aronian.
...

4
International - Ajedrez date: 04/09/2019  hour: 18:00
VS
individual individual
Tip Win Artemiev HA0
Odds Stake 30/29 2
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Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Match corresponding to the round of 16 of the Speed Chess, for those who do not know it is an online tournament organized by the Chess.com platform. In this tournament there is the loss of the best player in the world as it sponsors the competition so it loses some level compared to other years.
 
 The games are distributed in 3 times (5 + 3, 3 + 2 and 1 + 1) and the one with the most points wins. The tournament has an important prize pool ($ 100,000 and they are distributed according to the victories). Winner: $ 1,000 and goes to the 2nd round and $ 1,000 distributed according to percentage of victories.
 
 I'm going to the game between Artemiev and Grishchuk, duel between Russian GMs. The blitz game format is favorable to our player. In a classic tournament I would go with his rival but here I think that especially in the fastest times it can be imposed.
 
 They have only played 3 games in blitz mode and two of them have been won by Artemiev. The ELO is quite similar with 2779 for the first and 2741 for the second. Although his ELO is more for the past than for his recent results; in the Altibox Norway Chess Blitz was last with 3/9, in Paris if he achieved a good result with 7.5 points and a third place.
 
 Departure where Artemiev is slightly favorite and on top at a better rate.
...

5
International - Ajedrez date: 29/07/2019  hour: 16:30
VS
individual individual
VOID
Tip Anand wins
Odds Stake 17/10 1
VOID
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

I have not arrived to put something for the first round but for this second there are little things and more watching the games that are being played right now.
 
 The game is Anand vs Dudov, the Russian is the weakest opponent of the tournament with a big difference and the Indian is making a great tournament, is second to 2 points of Vachier. Right now he looks like he is going to win his game against Mame with what can be put very close.
 
...

6
International - Ajedrez date: 28/07/2019  hour: 15:00
VS
individual individual
VOID
Tip Anand HA.0 wins
Odds Stake 5/3 2
VOID
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Game Grishchuk vs Anand, I'm going with the Indian.
 
 After what I saw yesterday I think that the Russian should not be so favorite, almost pulling even if I hurry. The factors in favor of the Russian is to wear white and that after the "bad" yesterday needs more victory.
 
 Tables against Mame in 1st round, victory against a stranger Nakamura and defeat against Duda very clear (on move 13 he already got a point)
 
 Anand is a bit of a mystery, you can make great games like some that are not worthy from a GM. Despite all that, let's not forget that he was world champion in 2000 and that these things are not given away. Yesterday victories against Nepo and Giri and tables against Caruana who is showing himself as the strongest. It will make me say goodbye to what I said yesterday about your game in quick.
...

7
International - Ajedrez date: 28/07/2019  hour: 15:00
VS
individual individual
WON
Tip Win Vachier-Lagrave handicpa 0
Odds Stake 10/13 2
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Round 4, Anish Giri game against Vachier-Lagrave.
 
 It's only been a tournament day (3 games) but I think watching the game of the two the favorite is French as the betting house gives. The Dutchman could only draw a few tables against the weakest opponent of the tournament (Dudov) after losing to the Polish Duda and Anand.
 
 His opponent won Dudov in the first round (http://www.apuestadeportivas.com/foro/pronosticos-de-deportes-de-invierno/internacional-ajuego-27-de-julio-2019/msg1671852/#msg1671852) , he took revenge on Mame in the second round after the defeat in Riga and in the third round he lost to Nepo, I think that taking out the Queen prematurely caused him problems with the development and extra times.
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8
International - Ajedrez date: 27/07/2019  hour: 16:30
VS
individual individual
LOST
Tip Win Doubt HA. 0
Odds Stake 7/2 1
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

This is already a second round game where Caruana and the Polish Duda will play. The fast tournament is a league of 10 players in which 3 games per day will be played for 3 days with a control of 25 minutes for all plays with 10 seconds of delay (does not accumulate) per play. The last two days will be played a double-lap league of blitz. The fast ones will have twice the value of the blitz for the final classification.
 
 I go with the Polish by quota and because anyone who knows Caruana knows that he is not a fast player. Too much favoritism for the American without having shown anything from the other world in the last games.
...

9
International - Ajedrez date: 27/07/2019  hour: 15:00
VS
individual individual
VOID
Tip Win Mamedyarov HA. 0
Odds Stake 22/23 2
VOID
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Departure Grishchuk vs Mamedyarov and we go with that of Azerbaijan.
 
 Mamedyarov comes from playing a tiebreaker in the Grand Prix of Riga against Vachier in Armageddon mode in blitz mode but the truth that although he was worth the tables when playing black he won by game and time. On the other hand the Russian is a player who is loosening as time decreases contrary to his rival who seems to feel more comfortable in faster modalities.
 
 The history playing with blacks is not very promising but seeing the level in the last Mamedyarov tournaments I choose him.
...

10
International - Ajedrez date: 27/07/2019  hour: 15:00
VS
individual individual
WON
Tip Win Vachier-Lagrave handicpa 0
Odds Stake 68/67 2
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Another one of the tournaments belonging to the Grand Chess Tour begins, in this case it is in rapid mode in the city of Paris. The fast tournament is a league of 10 players in which 3 games per day will be played for 3 days with a control of 25 minutes for all plays with 10 seconds of delay (does not accumulate) per play. The last two days will be played a double-lap league of blitz. The fast ones will have twice the value of the blitz for the final classification.
 
 We're going to the Dudov vs Vachier-Lagrave game. They place the young Russian as a favorite against the number 5 in the world and the few players who have faced Carlsen at fast pace in recent times. I think the French should be imposed, apart from the tables they give us back the money. Dudov with 2771 ELO points for 2812 of the French in fast mode.
...

11
Brazil - Olimpiadas: Waterpolo date: 27/07/2019  hour: 10:00
VS
individual individual
LOST
Tip Win Hungary .
Odds Stake 33/19 1
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Consolation final between Croatia and Hungary.
 
 All bookmakers give Croatians favorites and quite clearly, my opinion is different in this regard although they surely know more.
 
 My opinion is that it is a very close match despite the defeat in semis against Italy by the Hungarians. You really look at the tournament in Croatia and have not done anything in particular, it has won loose selections and in many cases without demonstrating the supposed superiority it should have with respect to selections such as Australia or Germany.
 
 I give you the example of the match against the Teutons, the handicap was at 7.5 in favor of the Croats and they won 2 (10-8).
 
 The Hungarians fell in semis against Italy and although in quarters they suffered more than the account against Australia and in the next round they lost they have a great team. We cannot forget that in this team some of the current European champions play with Ferencváros like Krisztian Manhercz or the Tamas Mezei buoy.
 
 Anyone can win but in this case I go with the Magyars although with a low stake.
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12
Brazil - Olimpiadas: Waterpolo date: 27/07/2019  hour: 11:30
VS
individual individual
LOST
Tip Italy less than 8.5 goals .
Odds Stake 30/29 2
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Water polo final between the teams of Spain and Italy.
 
 The selection of David Martín has been planted in this final after eliminating two powers such as Croatia and Serbia. The game against the Croats is an example of what we are going to see tomorrow, the Spaniards in the Barceloneta style prioritize the defense against the attack. They left the current world champion in 5 goals, and at the break they only had 2 goals.
 
 Italy has been very strong winning all the matches, including against Hungary, with which Spain lost in the group stage. But his attack has not stood out too much, Japan scored 9 goals, being a loose selection and against Germany and Greece did not exceed 8 goals.
 
 López Pinedo must be key in the Spanish goal to achieve victory. After the defeat of the women's team against the US I suppose they will have more desire to win to revindicate the Spanish water polo.
 
...

13
Brazil - Olimpiadas: Waterpolo date: 23/07/2019  hour: 05:30
VS
individual individual
WON
Tip Win South Africa +17.5 goals.
Odds Stake 5/6 2
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Bwin has put the line at 16.5 to 1.85 and in Mbet this same handicap pays him at 1.64.
 
 I think the lines are somewhat swollen due to the poor results that the Africans have had but it must be noted that they have played against Hungary and Spain who are top picks, something that Americans are far from being.
 
 I do not think there are any big surprises and most likely they will lose 10-12 goals difference. In their most recent confrontations the Americans have not even managed to reach the 10 goals difference.
 
 13.09.18 CM South Africa EE. UU 6: 15
 23.07.17 WCH South Africa EE. UU 4: 13
 
 
...

14
Brazil - Olimpiadas: Waterpolo date: 23/07/2019  hour: 05:30
VS
individual individual
WON
Tip Handicap of the 4th period: South Africa +4
Odds Stake 10/11 2
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Good championship of the American selection being second in the group B ahead of Australia and gaining its party before the aussies. Already in the second round against Greece fell by 2 goals of difrencia (11-9) but also made a great game, if not for the partial 4-0 in the second quarter may have come with options Americans at the end of the match.
 
 His rival is a caramelito that if he has come to the crosses was for his draw against New Zealand, he has taken a goal car in all matches except against NZ. Thanks to going underneath for several goals his rivals relax and he has managed to make the last quarters something half worthy.
 
 21.07.19 WCH South Africa Germany 5: 25 (2-5)
 19.07.19 WCH South Africa Hungary 5: 23 (2-5)
 17.07.19 WCH South Africa New Zealand 8: 8 (2-2)
 15.07. 19 WCH South Africa Spain 3: 23 (0-8)
 
 Even Hungary, a good team, could not beat them the last quarter by more than 4 goals difference. I do not think the US can achieve it.
...

15
International - Ajedrez date: 30/06/2019  hour: 16:30
VS
individual individual
VOID
Tip Win Vachier-Lagrave Handicap 0 .
Odds Stake 14/11 2.5
VOID
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Departure between GM Anand and GM Vachier-Lagrave.
 
 Discrete tournament of both players as in the Altibox Norway and the logical thing is that the game ends in a draw. And even though the Indian will play with white which gives a small advantage, it seems to me that the odds do not reflect the level of each one.
 
 In the commented tournament of Norway, the game with a classic rhythm ended in a draw and in Armageddon the Indian took the extra point to achieve the draw. The history of games at this pace and these colors is 1 victory for the French, 3 tables and 2 victories of the Indian.
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