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Topics - Iamgod

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1
USA - NBA Preseason date: 27/07/2020  hour: 22:00
102106
LA Clippers Sacramento Kings
WON
Tip Win the Sacramento Kings
Odds Stake 2/1 1
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Hi, let's go with one for the last NBA preseason game that will pit the Clippers against the Kings. The first thing is that he is friendly, with what that implies. I like the bet because the Clippers have many casualties and it is also the last friendly so PG and Kawhi should play very little.
 
 For today the Angelenos will not be able to count on Lou Williams who will have to spend a quarantine of 10 days after his excursion to the strip club, nor on Beverley who returned to the bubble today, nor on Harrell who is not yet in Orlando and Probably he will not be able to count on either Zubac or Shamet, both of them finish their quarantine today but they still could not even train with the team, so I doubt that they will play today without even training.
 
 By the side of the Kings today they will be able to count for the first time with Harrison Barnes and Holmes, having only the casualties of Bagley due to injury and Len due to coronavirus.
 
 Both teams have played two friendlies, the Kings lost both, the first against the Heat by 6 points and the second against the Bucks by 8. The Clippers come with two victories after beating the Magic by 9 points and the Wizards by 5 points, the first with Lou Williams and the second without him, with PG and Kawhi playing an average of 25 minutes.
 
 As I said, he is a friendly with the dangers that implies but I think that today PG and Kawhi will play very little and in my opinion the Kings have right now, with all the losses of the Clippers, greater depth which makes me optimistic with today's match.
 
 Good luck!
...

2
USA - NBA date: 27/02/2020  hour: 01:30
120130
Atlanta Hawks Orlando Magic
LOST
Tip Terrence Ross over 14.5 points
Odds Stake 13/15 4
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Good, let's go with one for the NBA game that will face Atlanta Hawks against Orlando Magic in Atlanta. We will look for the points over for Ross, specifically they ask us for 15 points or more.
 
 Ross is a sixth man who always leaves the bench with a license to throw all he wants, his relationship between passes received and passes given is one of the largest in the league. He averages 14 points per game and is in a good moment, exceeding the line proposed for today in 4 of his last 5 games (21, 19, 5, 21 and 20 points). In addition today they play against Altanta, the Hawks are one of the worst defenses in the league, in fact only the Wizards fit more per game.
 
 Luck!
...

3
Tennis Picks / International - IPTL - Federer vs Nadal - February 7th, 2020
« on: February 07, 2020, 06:00:09 PM »
International - IPTL date: 07/02/2020  hour: 19:30
VS
Federer Nadal
WON
Tip Win Federer 2-1
Odds Stake 4/1 1
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

We are going with a bet for the "Match for Africa" exhibition match that will face Nadal and Federer in South Africa to raise funds for the Federer Foundation. This is the sixth edition and the second time that Nadal and Federer will face each other.
 
 Nadal and Federer already have a history in this type of games, this will be the seventh time although two of them were only one set. Of the other 4, all the games went to the third set and I don't think it's a coincidence. The first time they met was in Seoul, Federer won 6-3 in the third. The second time was in an event in Madrid in which Nadal 7-6 won in the third. The next two corresponded to the first edition of the Match for Africa, this edition consisted of two matches, the first organized in Zurich for the Federer Foundation, won the Swiss 6-3 in the third, and the second part was played in Madrid for the Nadal Foundation and won by the Balearic in the third. Finally they returned to play in Mallorca at the inauguration of the Nadal Academy and won Rafa 7-6 in the third.
 
 That is why I think there is a clear trend, they always go to the third party and the organizer wins, today I expect the same thing although I believe that what needs to be done here is to get Roger to win 2-1 and then to Rafa win 2-1. I would be very surprised if they didn't play 3 sets.
 
 Luck!
...

4
International - Euroleague date: 06/02/2020  hour: 20:00
7259
Olympiacos B.C. CSKA Moscow
LOST
Tip Darrun Hilliard less than 9.5 points
Odds Stake 5/6 4
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Good, let's go with a Euroleague for Olympiakos-CSKA. We are looking for the under points for Hilliard that Betfair offers us. They ask us for a maximum of 9 points.
 
 The line is set above its average, the American averages 9.9 points per game and on this line it would leave us 11 greens in 22 games. Hilliard started the season at a high level, putting 15 points in the first 6 games playing 25 minutes. From there Hackett and Strelnieks began to gain prominence, which reduced Hilliard minutes to about 15-20 per game in the following 5. From there he went on to play between 6 and 15 minutes, the reason was that Itoudis started to join the Hackett-Strelnieks-James trio on the court, limiting the minutes of Hilliard. But just on day 17 the Latvian and Italian are injured and Hilliard starts playing in minutes in the next 3 days. In this section the Cuban Sant-Roos arrives at the team and Hackett reappears what returns to reduce the minutes of Hilliard until the present moment.
 
 In the last 3 games Hilliard only played 12 minutes against Valencia (3 points), 9 minutes against Khimki (5 points) and 10 minutes against Efes (1 point). The reason is what I just commented, Hackett returned, Sant-Roos is being important for Itoudis (25 minutes on average in these three games), James is the best player in the team and plays his 30 minutes, in addition even Ron Baker is playing more than him. In the end you have three outdoor positions, 120 minutes, to share with James (30 min), Sant-Roos and Hackett (50 between the two), 15 from Kurbanov, so there are only 25 minutes left for Baker and Hilliard and right now Baker seems a little ahead of him in the rotation. If we see Hilliard numbers in the games in which he played 22 minutes or less, he would leave us 11 green in 14 games on this line.
 
 In addition, there is another factor that may be key, Strelnieks returned to the call this week. He did not play on Tuesday against Efes, but I hope he will play again today against Olympiakos, the team he was in the last two seasons.
 
 In summary, the CSKA's external rotation is very populated and right now Hilliard seems to be the sixth player in importance regardless of Strelnieks' return. Although the numbers are very favorable, a certain eye with a couple of things, the first is that Hilliard is a scorer and assumes shots, playing so little should not leave but is an active player in attack; the second one that seems to me may seem more dangerous, is a possible beating of the CSKA. The Greeks come from losing 25 against Zalgiris and although it is true that at home they are much better than it was (5 victories in the last 7), for this match they will not be able to count on Spanoulis and possibly also with Printezis.
 
 Greetings and good luck!
...

5
International - Euroleague date: 15/01/2020  hour: 19:00
7076
Crvena Zvezda Beograd Zalgiris Kaunas
WON
Tip Vladimir Stimac more than 8.5 points
Odds Stake 11/13 2
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Hi, let's go with one from Euroleague for this afternoon. We look for Stimac points over against Zalgiris. At William Hill they ask us for a minimum of 9 points.
 
 The Serbian player after starting the campaign with Fener, signed for Red Star. In Euroleague has 3 games played with them, getting more and more prominence. In his debut against Zenit he played 22 minutes and with poor percentages in the shot (3 of 8, when this season has 72% in shot of 2), scoring only 6 points. In the next at home against Bayern, he plays 21 minutes scoring 13 points (with a 6 of 7 in shots, a more normal percentage in him). And finally we have the game against Asvel last week, here Stimac makes his best game by getting 21 points in 30 minutes, even getting a triple (9 of 9 in field shots and 2 of 6 in TL).
 
 The Serbs were very fair inside, Kuzmic almost does not play, Faye is away and was not giving up and Eye is very green for these levels, so after 3 games, Stimac is already the most important indoor player of the team. In ABA, he has two games played, in the first he scored 8 points in 15 minutes, while two days ago he scored 12 points in 20 minutes. In both games Red Star won very easy and there were many rotations.
 
 For today they have several casualties. In addition to Faye and Derrick Brown that no longer count, Perperouglou and Jagodic are safe casualties. They also arrive with three players who are in doubt, Lorenzo Brown made a sprain against Asvel last week, played in ABA but after 3 minutes he suffered and had to retire for what seems likely that he cannot play today. Davidovac is also doubtful that he retired at 6 minutes two days ago for a sprain, so it probably won't come either. These two casualties are important, as they are two players who take many shots, especially Lorenzo Brown. In addition Covic is also doubtful, but its importance is less.
 
 Luck!
...

6
International - Euroleague date: 10/01/2020  hour: 20:30
7784
FC Bayern Munchen CSKA Moscow
WON
Tip Darrun Hilliard more than 9.5 points
Odds Stake 5/6 2.5
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Hello, we are going with a Euroleague for this afternoon for Bayern-CSKA. We will look for the over points of the CSKA player, Hilliard. They ask us for a minimum of 10 points.
 
 The CSKA currently has many problems with casualties in the outside game. They started the season with Hackett, Strelnieks and Mike James in the base position, with Ron Baker, plus Hilliard himself and the Russians like Ukhov or Kulagin completing the base and escort positions. With Clyburn and Kurbanov helping in 3. Right now, what looked like a very covered position is no longer. Clyburn will be low for the entire season and both Hackett and Strelnieks have been injured the previous week. Of the Russians only Kurbanov has minutes regularly and Baker can say that it does not count for Itoudis.
 
 That is, right now the CSKA outside game is with Mike James, Hilliard and Kurbanov, plus a Baker who only played 15 minutes in total in the last 3 Euroleague games, Antonov that averages 6 minutes per game and Ukhov that only He has played 25 minutes throughout the Euroleague. For all this, today I wait about 30 minutes for Hilliard.
 
 Analyzing Hilliard numbers, we see that it averages 10.1 points per game in 19 minutes, complying with the line in half of the matches. The very fine season began with 22, 6, 13, 21, 17 and 13 points. After that, Hackett and Strelnieks gained confidence and minutes that took away from Hilliard who went from playing 25-30 minutes to playing 15-20. He comes with confidence after putting 24 points against Khimki in the league. In addition, Bayern is one of the teams with the most points in the entire Euroleague.
 
 Luck!
...

7
South Africa - Premier Soccer League date: 26/11/2019  hour: 18:30
11
Highlands Park Bidvest Wits
VOID
Tip Win Bidvest Wits Asian Handicap -0
Odds Stake 39/40 1
VOID
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Quid pro Quo companions. I leave this pick.
 
 South African football league. Highlands Park vs Bidvest Wits. We go with the 2 DNB. These teams are currently tied to points with 15 points, however, the visitors have 4 games less. Highlands comes with 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, at home: 3-0-2. Bidvest comes with 5 wins and 2 losses, as visitors count all their matches by wins (0-1, 0-1 and 0-3). Last year the league finished third and as it happens this year, getting better results away from home than at home. Last year they finished with 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses.
 
 The H2H is 2 wins for Bidvest Wits (0-2 and 1-0), 1 draw (2-2) and 1 Highlands victory (2-1). I see visitors favorites and I think that with these fees it has value.
 
 Luck!
 
 "If we get to know our limitations very soon, we will never know our true power."
...

8
Malta - Premier League date: 25/11/2019  hour: 20:15
13
Senglea Athletic Gzira United
WON
Tip Win Gzira United Asian Handicap -1
Odds Stake 22/19 1.5
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Quid pro Quo companions. I leave this pick.
 
 Let's go with the Malta football league. Senglea Athletics vs Gzira. We go with the Gzira -1. The premises are a team from the bottom of the table, the last years always end closer to the decline than to the privileged positions. The Gzira is quite the opposite, it is a team from the top, finished third in the last two leagues. So far this season had a rare start, tying the first 4 games, from there 5 wins (2-0, 1-3, 1-3, 6-1 and 5-0, that is, all victories for more than one goal, which speaks of his ease of scoring) and a defeat in the last game against third parties.
 
 The locals have no bad start, especially at home, where in 5 days they already got the same points as in the last season (10). This year they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, while it was 2 draws and 3 losses. They started with 1 draw and 2 wins, but from there 2 losses, 1 draw, 1 win, 5-0 loss, draw and another loss.
 
 The H2H between them is a small sample of 6 matches, of which Gzira won 4 and there were two draws. Last year the results were: 3-1 for Gzira and 0-1 also for Gzira in a match in which they had to play with one less from minute 4 of the match. I think that Gzira should win the game which would give us the minimum, but seeing how bulky its results, I see value in this Gzira -1.
 
 Luck!
 
 "If we get to know our limitations very soon, we will never know our true power."
...

9
Norway - Eliteserien date: 24/11/2019  hour: 18:00
11
Sarpsborg 08 FK Haugesund
LOST
Tip Win Sarpsborg 08
Odds Stake 14/19 2
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Quid pro Quo companions. I leave this pick.
 
 Norwegian football league. Sarpsborg 08 vs Hausegund. We go with the local victory. Simple explanation, the lcoales play the permanence, they are 1 point above the descent in the absence of 2 days. The visitors are in half table and nothing is played anymore. The locals are strong at home, chain 9 games without losing there, they have 20 points in 14 games. Hausegund is a good visitor (4-6-4), but nothing is played and they have 5 games without winning out.
 
 Luck!
 
 "If we get to know our limitations very soon, we will never know our true power."
...

10
Croatia - 1. Division date: 24/11/2019  hour: 17:30
14
Inter Zapresic Rijeka
WON
Tip Inter Zapresic Over (+) 0.5
Odds Stake 2/3 2
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Quid pro Quo companions. I leave this pick.
 
 Croatian football league. We will go with the +0.5 goals of the locals. Rijeka is in a crisis and accumulate 3 defeats in a row, the last one 0-5. They are fitting a lot and for this last game the club decided to "dispense" with 3 defenses in favor of the subsidiary's defenses, which I doubt will make them improve much behind. They have been 7 matches in a row and they fit in 12 of the 15 games they have in the league. The locals are one of the worst teams in the league, yet they managed to score in 12 of the 15 games they have played so far.
 
 Luck!
 
 "If we get to know our limitations very soon, we will never know our true power."
...

11
Slovenia - Prva Liga date: 24/11/2019  hour: 17:00
02
Aluminij Maribor
WON
Tip Win Maribor
Odds Stake 5/4 1.5
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Quid pro Quo companions. I leave this pick.
 
 Slovenian football league. Aluminij vs Maribor. We go with the visiting victory. Maribor is the dominator of the Slovenian league. Both teams are matched right now with 10 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. After a bad start, Maribor has 8 wins and 1 draw in the last 10 games. Aluminij still does not know the defeat at home, accumulates 6 wins and 2 draws in 8 games. The Maribor as a visitor goes 4-2-2, winning 4 of the last 5 out. The H2H is very favorable to visitors, Aluminij has won 10 games without winning Maribor, of these 10 Maribor has won 8 wins for 2 draws, coincidentally both at Maribor's house. Although the similar start, Maribor starts to carburet and this match is perfect to hit the table.
 
 Luck!
 
 "If we get to know our limitations very soon, we will never know our true power."
...

12
Germany - Regionalliga North date: 24/11/2019  hour: 14:00
13
FC Hansa Lueneburg Luebeck
LOST
Tip Double chance: 1X (FC Hansa Lueneburg or Draw)
Odds Stake 16/11 1
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Quid pro Quo companions. I leave this pick.
 
 Regionalliga Norte alamana. Luneburger Hansa vs Lubeck. We go with local +0.5. The Lubeck goes second with 12-1-4, while the Luneburger Hansa goes 11th with 8-2-8. The difference is big, however, as LH locals have 6 wins, 2 draws and only 1 loss. The Lubeck as a visitor has 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, numbers, but accumulates two losses and one draw in a row. Seeing quotas and the level of the locals playing at home plus the bad streak of visitors as such, because they are also against teams below, I see a lot of value in this 1X.
 
 Luck!
 
 "If we get to know our limitations very soon, we will never know our true power."
...

13
USA - NBA date: 24/11/2019  hour: 21:30
123137
Houston Rockets Dallas Mavericks
WON
Tip Clint Capela over 14'5 rebounds
Odds Stake 10/11 3.5
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Quid pro Quo companions. I leave this pick.
 
 NBA. DAL @ HOU, Let's go with Capela over 14'5 rebounds. I will return with this bet, more and more the lines rise, but they are still feasible. Capela averages 14'1 rebounds per game, but this November he climbs to 16 on average and in the last 7 he did: 16, 20 in 42 minutes, 20 in 36 minutes and 20 in 32 minutes against Clippers, 20 against Portland , 21 against Denver and 19 against Clippers. As we see their bouncing numbers lately they are crazy. Chain 7 games well above that line. Today he faces the Mavs who usually play with Powell or Kleber 5 although lately they are giving Marjanovic minutes too. Seeing the current level of Capela, I am forced to try again.
 
 Luck!
 
 "If we get to know our limitations very soon, we will never know our true power."
...

14
Germany - 3. Liga date: 24/11/2019  hour: 14:00
11
1860 Muenchen Bayern Munich II
LOST
Tip Over (+) 3
Odds Stake 30/29 1.5
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Quid pro Quo companions. I leave this pick.
 
 3 German. Munich derby. 1860 Munich vs Bayern Munich II. We go with the over 3 goals. Bayern's subsidiary, as a good subsidiary, is a goal machine. They fit and score 2 goals per game. The locals see fewer goals in their matches, average 1.4 scored and 1.5 conceded. Bayern has 14 of 15 overs 2.5. As a visitor 7 of 7. Here we leave 4 of 7 over 3'5. The premises are less over, they have 10 of 15 over 2.5. 4 of 7 as locals. It also leaves us 4 of 7 over 3'5 as locals. Their problems come when they fail to score, which always comes under because they fit little. However, when they get one they usually shoot: 1-1, 3-0, 0-0, 5-1, 3-1, 3-1, 0-1, 4-2, their results at home. The subsidiary as a visitor leaves us: 3-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 1-4, 3-0, 5-3. As we can see they are very easy to fit and they also usually score. Last year their matches between them were a 0-1 and a 3-1.
 
 Luck!
 
 "If we get to know our limitations very soon, we will never know our true power."
...

15
Portugal - Cup date: 23/11/2019  hour: 21:45
12
Vizela Benfica
LOST
Tip Win Benfica Asian Handicap -2
Odds Stake 17/16 2
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Quid pro Quo companions. I leave this pick.
 
 Taça de Portugal. Vizela vs Benfica. Let's go with Benfica -2. Vizela is a team of the third Portuguese league. They have been a very good year, leaders in their league, but they should not create any problem for Benfica. This tournament is played in a single game, which means that the big players cannot relax much by not having a homecoming game. Benfica goes with almost everything, Seferovic is low and neither Ruben Dias nor Taarabt are called. They only have one subsidiary player summoned, all others are members of the first team. Benfica has been a great year, they are currently leaders of the Portuguese league with 10 victories in 11 games.
 
 The coach of Benfica said at a press conference that he wanted to line up a regular eleven because the next game they have is Champions and wants to arrive rolled after the break. In this type of rounds it is quite common to see goals, but I recommend not entering very strong because we are talking about a drink with the risks that entails.
 
 Luck!
 
 "If we get to know our limitations very soon, we will never know our true power."
...

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