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Topics - tlop

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1
Brazil - Olimpiadas: Atletismo date: 28/09/2019  hour: 20:00
VS
individual individual
LOST
Tip Win Letesenbet Gidey
Odds Stake 7/2 1
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

End of the 10,000 women where there are 3 runners who stand out from the others. The favorite for bookmakers is the Dutch Sifan Hassan, followed by our broker and the Kenyan Obiri.
 
 Gidey has rationed more his participation in races, in July in the Ethiopian Trials played in Holland he left the clock at 30: 37,89.
 
 Your maximum rival as I said is Hassan, a rival who in case of a tight final can win because she has a better final because she is an athlete who runs in shorter distances where more explosion is needed. This year it has run about 10,000 meters with a time of 31:18, 12.
 
 You have broken the mile record this year with 4: 12.33 but it is a very different distance from this test.
 
 And the third in discord is Obiri that this year has played two tests of this distance with times of 31: 25.38 and 31: 43.00.
 
 The best mark of the year of the 3 is from our broker, it is the only one that has dropped from 31 minutes. The Dutchwoman may be a favorite but at these rates I prefer Ethiopia.
...

2
International - Ajedrez date: 27/09/2019  hour: 12:00
VS
individual individual
VOID
Tip Win Ding, Liren. Bet without a draw
Odds Stake 13/15 2
VOID
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

World Chess Championship and we are already in semis. I'm going to focus on the semi between the two Chinese players. On the one hand GM Yu, Yangyi and his rival GM Ding Liren.
 
 I understand that the odds are matched by today's game where despite the tables Yu has been ahead in the game until starting from move 20 they have started with simple moves with fear of losing.
 
 The reality is that our player is better than his opponent as his history shows, except in blitz games the history is favorable to world number 3.
 
 Most likely, the games end up in tables but if either of them can be imposed, that is Liren. Right now he is the favorite to take the title (2.50 by 4.50 of his rival)
 
 If they are money back tables.
...

3
International - Ajedrez date: 04/09/2019  hour: 18:00
VS
individual individual
WON
Tip Win Artemiev HA0
Odds Stake 30/29 2
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Match corresponding to the round of 16 of the Speed Chess, for those who do not know it is an online tournament organized by the Chess.com platform. In this tournament there is the loss of the best player in the world as it sponsors the competition so it loses some level compared to other years.
 
 The games are distributed in 3 times (5 + 3, 3 + 2 and 1 + 1) and the one with the most points wins. The tournament has an important prize pool ($ 100,000 and they are distributed according to the victories). Winner: $ 1,000 and goes to the 2nd round and $ 1,000 distributed according to percentage of victories.
 
 I'm going to the game between Artemiev and Grishchuk, duel between Russian GMs. The blitz game format is favorable to our player. In a classic tournament I would go with his rival but here I think that especially in the fastest times it can be imposed.
 
 They have only played 3 games in blitz mode and two of them have been won by Artemiev. The ELO is quite similar with 2779 for the first and 2741 for the second. Although his ELO is more for the past than for his recent results; in the Altibox Norway Chess Blitz was last with 3/9, in Paris if he achieved a good result with 7.5 points and a third place.
 
 Departure where Artemiev is slightly favorite and on top at a better rate.
...

4
International - Ajedrez date: 29/07/2019  hour: 16:30
VS
individual individual
VOID
Tip Anand wins
Odds Stake 17/10 1
VOID
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

I have not arrived to put something for the first round but for this second there are little things and more watching the games that are being played right now.
 
 The game is Anand vs Dudov, the Russian is the weakest opponent of the tournament with a big difference and the Indian is making a great tournament, is second to 2 points of Vachier. Right now he looks like he is going to win his game against Mame with what can be put very close.
 
...

5
International - Ajedrez date: 28/07/2019  hour: 15:00
VS
individual individual
WON
Tip Win Vachier-Lagrave handicpa 0
Odds Stake 10/13 2
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Round 4, Anish Giri game against Vachier-Lagrave.
 
 It's only been a tournament day (3 games) but I think watching the game of the two the favorite is French as the betting house gives. The Dutchman could only draw a few tables against the weakest opponent of the tournament (Dudov) after losing to the Polish Duda and Anand.
 
 His opponent won Dudov in the first round (http://www.apuestadeportivas.com/foro/pronosticos-de-deportes-de-invierno/internacional-ajuego-27-de-julio-2019/msg1671852/#msg1671852) , he took revenge on Mame in the second round after the defeat in Riga and in the third round he lost to Nepo, I think that taking out the Queen prematurely caused him problems with the development and extra times.
...

6
Brazil - Olimpiadas: Waterpolo date: 27/07/2019  hour: 11:30
VS
individual individual
LOST
Tip Italy less than 8.5 goals .
Odds Stake 30/29 2
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Water polo final between the teams of Spain and Italy.
 
 The selection of David Martín has been planted in this final after eliminating two powers such as Croatia and Serbia. The game against the Croats is an example of what we are going to see tomorrow, the Spaniards in the Barceloneta style prioritize the defense against the attack. They left the current world champion in 5 goals, and at the break they only had 2 goals.
 
 Italy has been very strong winning all the matches, including against Hungary, with which Spain lost in the group stage. But his attack has not stood out too much, Japan scored 9 goals, being a loose selection and against Germany and Greece did not exceed 8 goals.
 
 López Pinedo must be key in the Spanish goal to achieve victory. After the defeat of the women's team against the US I suppose they will have more desire to win to revindicate the Spanish water polo.
 
...

7
Brazil - Olimpiadas: Waterpolo date: 23/07/2019  hour: 05:30
VS
individual individual
WON
Tip Handicap of the 4th period: South Africa +4
Odds Stake 10/11 2
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Good championship of the American selection being second in the group B ahead of Australia and gaining its party before the aussies. Already in the second round against Greece fell by 2 goals of difrencia (11-9) but also made a great game, if not for the partial 4-0 in the second quarter may have come with options Americans at the end of the match.
 
 His rival is a caramelito that if he has come to the crosses was for his draw against New Zealand, he has taken a goal car in all matches except against NZ. Thanks to going underneath for several goals his rivals relax and he has managed to make the last quarters something half worthy.
 
 21.07.19 WCH South Africa Germany 5: 25 (2-5)
 19.07.19 WCH South Africa Hungary 5: 23 (2-5)
 17.07.19 WCH South Africa New Zealand 8: 8 (2-2)
 15.07. 19 WCH South Africa Spain 3: 23 (0-8)
 
 Even Hungary, a good team, could not beat them the last quarter by more than 4 goals difference. I do not think the US can achieve it.
...

8
International - Ajedrez date: 30/06/2019  hour: 16:30
VS
individual individual
VOID
Tip Win Vachier-Lagrave Handicap 0 .
Odds Stake 14/11 2.5
VOID
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Departure between GM Anand and GM Vachier-Lagrave.
 
 Discrete tournament of both players as in the Altibox Norway and the logical thing is that the game ends in a draw. And even though the Indian will play with white which gives a small advantage, it seems to me that the odds do not reflect the level of each one.
 
 In the commented tournament of Norway, the game with a classic rhythm ended in a draw and in Armageddon the Indian took the extra point to achieve the draw. The history of games at this pace and these colors is 1 victory for the French, 3 tables and 2 victories of the Indian.
...

9
International - Ajedrez date: 09/06/2019  hour: 17:00
VS
individual individual
VOID
Tip Win Aronian Handicap 0
Odds Stake 34/13 1.5
VOID
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Round number 5 of the Altibox Norway Chess and it seems that every time the thing is more decided in favor of the Norwegian, even so there is still excitement in these 5 remaining games.
 
 As you can see throughout the tournament, the most common is that the games end in a draw but you still have to try to risk with high odds looking for surprises.
 
 The house of bet gives as a favorite to Liren and seen the seen so far it is but I think not so much as to give us these fees in favor of the Armenian. Yesterday Aronian made draw in the Armageddon against Vachier and that has made him off the hook in the standings and have Carlsen to 2 points.
 
 Liren for its part made tables against Anand which is doing a bad tournament and in the tiebreaker suffered a lot to end up losing on move 27.
 
 They have played 7 games at a classical pace in which 5 have been tables and 2 wins for the Chinese
...

10
International - Ajedrez date: 08/06/2019  hour: 17:00
VS
individual individual
LOST
Tip Win Carlsen .
Odds Stake 17/11 1
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

I'll be back with Magnus Carlsen after yesterday's rest day. He will face Mamedyarov in this 4th round with 1 point advantage over Ding, Aronian and So in general.
 
 It is true that of his 5 points he has won 3 after Armageddon in the games against Aronian and Anand but he is the best and I think he can take the victory as he did against Grishchuk in the previous round.
 
 He has played 10 games at this rate against the GM of Azerbaijan with 3 wins and 7 draws. The normal and logical tables are but the victories of the best player in history above the pair I have to try.
...

11
International - Ajedrez date: 04/06/2019  hour: 17:00
VS
individual individual
LOST
Tip Win Carlsen
Odds Stake 9/5 1
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Yesterday we failed the Norwegian genius in the mini blitz tournament to choose the amount of white and black. I think if something else had been at stake I would have squeezed more in a game.
 
 Play against Viswanathan Anand number 9 in the world that he just defeated yesterday, although today it will be different since the clock starts in 2 hours for the entire game with 10 seconds increase only after move 40. The offer of tables is not allowed until move 30. In the game Armageddon, White has 10 minutes for 7 of the blacks with 3 seconds of increment only after the 61st move. In the case of tables, Black takes the whole point. If at the end of the tournament there is a tie between the first two, a tiebreaker will be played to two 3 + 2 games.
 
 As I said I think, it's a mere opinion, that he did not play with everything and saved some little thing for the "real" tournament that starts today. In none of the 9 games we saw neither the English with white nor the pelikan with black which are her two favorite starts.
 
 On the other hand I suppose that the defeats of yesterday will have shown him that although he is much better than the rest if he does not go to 100% he can pay dearly.
 
 The normal thing is that the game ends in tables due to the format and the level of both but I think that a 2.80 fee for its victory must be tested, but with minimal stake.
...

12
Brazil - Olimpiadas: Waterpolo date: 06/06/2019  hour: 19:00
VS
individual individual
LOST
Tip Pro Recco to win -7.5 goals
Odds Stake 11/12 2
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

All bookmakers have this same handicap but here they give us a better quota. The Italians should win with the difference they want since the difference is abysmal.
 
 The Italians come to celebrate the Scudetto number 33 in their history with an 11-3 in semis against Sport Management, Champions team, and 11-10 in Brescia in the final. They have the best squad in the world with Marko Bijac, voted the best player in Europe in 2017, Francesco di Fulvio or Aleksandar Ivović.
 
 Waspo 98 lost 3-0 to Spandau 04 in the final series of the German championship with great controversy in the last game, Karsten Seehafer discussed with the referee of the match after a haul in which a player ended up bleeding.
 
 They have not faced this season since they obviously did not share a group but they can play matches they have had against similar teams, all lower. Against Dubrovnik he lost by 18-7 and 7-14 and against Olympiacos 17-7 and 9-9, the games played away from home gave us the green and in the home a game was a goal, I say that the Italians They are better than either of those two.
 
 Pro Recco was the only team to finish unbeaten despite having the strongest group with Barceloneta, Ferencvarosi and Brescia.
...

13
International - Ajedrez date: 03/06/2019  hour: 18:30
VS
individual individual
LOST
Tip Magnus Carlsen to win the Super Tournament. Norway Chess. Blitz. 2019
Odds Stake 11/17 2.5
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Magnus Carlsen is still unstoppable since the last world championship won to Caruana and only knows how to win tournaments. After winning in Côte d'Ivoire in fast and blitz he has been playing several games, gave a simultaneous games exhibition and played an exhibition duel against the Danish international master, Jonas Suhl Bjerre, of 14 years. The final score of the simultaneous ones was in 25: 0 in favor of Carlsen and the friendly duel won it 2: 0.
 
 A part he played a mini tournament to 6 rounds (Chess Stars Tournament) against Karjakin, Liren and Anand and although in a more adjusted way he also won (fast mode).
 
 By this I mean that it is not only the best in the world, I would say that of the history no matter how much some of Kasparov's followers are hurting, it is in the best possible way. Play against the top10 as if they were IM, demonstrating a great superiority in important moments such as the middle game and the finals. Even when he makes a mistake he is able to turn the game around and achieve the tables at least.
 
 The tournament is in blitz mode (the fastest) and will play part of the Norwegian genius GM Vachier-Lagrave, Aronian, Liren, Caruana, Grishchuk, Mamedyarov, Anand, Wesley Me and Su. It's a shame that Nakamura does not play because I think the fee would be a little bit higher.
...

14
International - Ajedrez date: 17/05/2019  hour: 20:30
VS
individual individual
LOST
Tip Aronian goes to the quarterfinals .
Odds Stake 17/14 1
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Eighth finals of the FIDE tournament in Moscow. This is the confrontation between Nepo and Aronian and consists in the Armenian passing the round, it is the best of two games.
 
 The Moscow tournament is the first of a total of four tournaments that, apart from the cash prize, will award the two best qualified with places to participate in the next Candidates Tournament that will determine the next challenger to the World Champion in the 2020 World Cup.
 
 The tournament has just started and we are in the second round so we can not draw many conclusions but these are two top players separated by 11 ELO points. Matched match where I think it is better to bet on the highest odds.
...

15
Brazil - Olimpiadas: Boxeo date: 23/05/2019  hour: 20:30
VS
individual individual
WON
Tip Partido Regionalista Cantabria more than 26.5% votes
Odds Stake 5/6 1.5
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Bet that is in: Specials - Politics - Elections Comunidad de Cantabria 2019. The bet is that Revilla's party gets more than 26.5% of the votes.
 
 The result obtained by the regionalist party in the general elections is very great, and a seat is obtained, and for these autonomies a better result is expected, winning the elections although without an absolute majority.
 
 In 2015 the party despite remaining second took 30% with more than 95,000 votes to its credit. In the generals of the past month evidently it lowered since it is a party focused towards the community, this puts in its page Web: "Its object is the defense of the interests of Cantabria, and it adopts its decisions, in a democratic and independent way, in its governing bodies, whose seat is in this Autonomous Community, without being conditioned by organisms or structures located outside it. "
 
 And in the polls the percentage they score is over 33%, much more than what they ask here. So although the results are not as good as they mark the polls and watching the last regional I hope they reach that percentage.
...

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