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Topics - tlop

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1
International - Ajedrez date: 30/06/2019  hour: 16:30
VS
individual individual
Tip Win Vachier-Lagrave Handicap 0 .
Odds Stake 14/11 2.5
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Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Departure between GM Anand and GM Vachier-Lagrave.
 
 Discrete tournament of both players as in the Altibox Norway and the logical thing is that the game ends in a draw. And even though the Indian will play with white which gives a small advantage, it seems to me that the odds do not reflect the level of each one.
 
 In the commented tournament of Norway, the game with a classic rhythm ended in a draw and in Armageddon the Indian took the extra point to achieve the draw. The history of games at this pace and these colors is 1 victory for the French, 3 tables and 2 victories of the Indian.
...

2
International - Ajedrez date: 09/06/2019  hour: 17:00
VS
individual individual
VOID
Tip Win Aronian Handicap 0
Odds Stake 34/13 1.5
VOID
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Round number 5 of the Altibox Norway Chess and it seems that every time the thing is more decided in favor of the Norwegian, even so there is still excitement in these 5 remaining games.
 
 As you can see throughout the tournament, the most common is that the games end in a draw but you still have to try to risk with high odds looking for surprises.
 
 The house of bet gives as a favorite to Liren and seen the seen so far it is but I think not so much as to give us these fees in favor of the Armenian. Yesterday Aronian made draw in the Armageddon against Vachier and that has made him off the hook in the standings and have Carlsen to 2 points.
 
 Liren for its part made tables against Anand which is doing a bad tournament and in the tiebreaker suffered a lot to end up losing on move 27.
 
 They have played 7 games at a classical pace in which 5 have been tables and 2 wins for the Chinese
...

3
International - Ajedrez date: 08/06/2019  hour: 17:00
VS
individual individual
LOST
Tip Win Carlsen .
Odds Stake 17/11 1
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

I'll be back with Magnus Carlsen after yesterday's rest day. He will face Mamedyarov in this 4th round with 1 point advantage over Ding, Aronian and So in general.
 
 It is true that of his 5 points he has won 3 after Armageddon in the games against Aronian and Anand but he is the best and I think he can take the victory as he did against Grishchuk in the previous round.
 
 He has played 10 games at this rate against the GM of Azerbaijan with 3 wins and 7 draws. The normal and logical tables are but the victories of the best player in history above the pair I have to try.
...

4
International - Ajedrez date: 04/06/2019  hour: 17:00
VS
individual individual
LOST
Tip Win Carlsen
Odds Stake 9/5 1
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Yesterday we failed the Norwegian genius in the mini blitz tournament to choose the amount of white and black. I think if something else had been at stake I would have squeezed more in a game.
 
 Play against Viswanathan Anand number 9 in the world that he just defeated yesterday, although today it will be different since the clock starts in 2 hours for the entire game with 10 seconds increase only after move 40. The offer of tables is not allowed until move 30. In the game Armageddon, White has 10 minutes for 7 of the blacks with 3 seconds of increment only after the 61st move. In the case of tables, Black takes the whole point. If at the end of the tournament there is a tie between the first two, a tiebreaker will be played to two 3 + 2 games.
 
 As I said I think, it's a mere opinion, that he did not play with everything and saved some little thing for the "real" tournament that starts today. In none of the 9 games we saw neither the English with white nor the pelikan with black which are her two favorite starts.
 
 On the other hand I suppose that the defeats of yesterday will have shown him that although he is much better than the rest if he does not go to 100% he can pay dearly.
 
 The normal thing is that the game ends in tables due to the format and the level of both but I think that a 2.80 fee for its victory must be tested, but with minimal stake.
...

5
Brazil - Olimpiadas: Waterpolo date: 06/06/2019  hour: 19:00
VS
individual individual
LOST
Tip Pro Recco to win -7.5 goals
Odds Stake 11/12 2
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

All bookmakers have this same handicap but here they give us a better quota. The Italians should win with the difference they want since the difference is abysmal.
 
 The Italians come to celebrate the Scudetto number 33 in their history with an 11-3 in semis against Sport Management, Champions team, and 11-10 in Brescia in the final. They have the best squad in the world with Marko Bijac, voted the best player in Europe in 2017, Francesco di Fulvio or Aleksandar Ivović.
 
 Waspo 98 lost 3-0 to Spandau 04 in the final series of the German championship with great controversy in the last game, Karsten Seehafer discussed with the referee of the match after a haul in which a player ended up bleeding.
 
 They have not faced this season since they obviously did not share a group but they can play matches they have had against similar teams, all lower. Against Dubrovnik he lost by 18-7 and 7-14 and against Olympiacos 17-7 and 9-9, the games played away from home gave us the green and in the home a game was a goal, I say that the Italians They are better than either of those two.
 
 Pro Recco was the only team to finish unbeaten despite having the strongest group with Barceloneta, Ferencvarosi and Brescia.
...

6
International - Ajedrez date: 03/06/2019  hour: 18:30
VS
individual individual
LOST
Tip Magnus Carlsen to win the Super Tournament. Norway Chess. Blitz. 2019
Odds Stake 11/17 2.5
LOST
 Reasoning ...

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Magnus Carlsen is still unstoppable since the last world championship won to Caruana and only knows how to win tournaments. After winning in Côte d'Ivoire in fast and blitz he has been playing several games, gave a simultaneous games exhibition and played an exhibition duel against the Danish international master, Jonas Suhl Bjerre, of 14 years. The final score of the simultaneous ones was in 25: 0 in favor of Carlsen and the friendly duel won it 2: 0.
 
 A part he played a mini tournament to 6 rounds (Chess Stars Tournament) against Karjakin, Liren and Anand and although in a more adjusted way he also won (fast mode).
 
 By this I mean that it is not only the best in the world, I would say that of the history no matter how much some of Kasparov's followers are hurting, it is in the best possible way. Play against the top10 as if they were IM, demonstrating a great superiority in important moments such as the middle game and the finals. Even when he makes a mistake he is able to turn the game around and achieve the tables at least.
 
 The tournament is in blitz mode (the fastest) and will play part of the Norwegian genius GM Vachier-Lagrave, Aronian, Liren, Caruana, Grishchuk, Mamedyarov, Anand, Wesley Me and Su. It's a shame that Nakamura does not play because I think the fee would be a little bit higher.
...

7
International - Ajedrez date: 17/05/2019  hour: 20:30
VS
individual individual
LOST
Tip Aronian goes to the quarterfinals .
Odds Stake 17/14 1
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Eighth finals of the FIDE tournament in Moscow. This is the confrontation between Nepo and Aronian and consists in the Armenian passing the round, it is the best of two games.
 
 The Moscow tournament is the first of a total of four tournaments that, apart from the cash prize, will award the two best qualified with places to participate in the next Candidates Tournament that will determine the next challenger to the World Champion in the 2020 World Cup.
 
 The tournament has just started and we are in the second round so we can not draw many conclusions but these are two top players separated by 11 ELO points. Matched match where I think it is better to bet on the highest odds.
...

8
Brazil - Olimpiadas: Boxeo date: 23/05/2019  hour: 20:30
VS
individual individual
WON
Tip Partido Regionalista Cantabria more than 26.5% votes
Odds Stake 5/6 1.5
WON
 Reasoning ...

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Bet that is in: Specials - Politics - Elections Comunidad de Cantabria 2019. The bet is that Revilla's party gets more than 26.5% of the votes.
 
 The result obtained by the regionalist party in the general elections is very great, and a seat is obtained, and for these autonomies a better result is expected, winning the elections although without an absolute majority.
 
 In 2015 the party despite remaining second took 30% with more than 95,000 votes to its credit. In the generals of the past month evidently it lowered since it is a party focused towards the community, this puts in its page Web: "Its object is the defense of the interests of Cantabria, and it adopts its decisions, in a democratic and independent way, in its governing bodies, whose seat is in this Autonomous Community, without being conditioned by organisms or structures located outside it. "
 
 And in the polls the percentage they score is over 33%, much more than what they ask here. So although the results are not as good as they mark the polls and watching the last regional I hope they reach that percentage.
...

9
International - Ajedrez date: 11/05/2019  hour: 16:00
VS
individual individual
WON
Tip Tables Nakamura-Wei
Odds Stake 24/13 0.5
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Game within the Grand Chess Tour played in Côte d'Ivoire, the fast tournament has ended and now begins the blitz mode (it is the fastest modality)
 
 The bet has its risk because the American is next to God Carlsen the fastest in the game of the 64 escaques. But seeing the good tournament that the young Chinese has made in the fast mode we will trust that he can get the tables.
 
 They have met on 3 occasions and at 3 they have reached the tables, it is true that I could not find out what was the mode), by quota and dynamics I go with the tables.
...

10
Hungría - NB1 date: 07/05/2019  hour: 18:00
VS
Veszprem Gyongyos
WON
Tip Gyongyosi +11.5 goals .
Odds Stake 22/23 1
WON
 Reasoning ...

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I'm going to go against the Veszprem, that's why I'm going to go soft.
 
 Nagy's team beat Flensburg in the Champions League and qualified for F4, he will play against the PGE Vive Kielce. It is a very top team with high level players.
 
 His opponent is a half-table team that comes from winning third place, Tatabanya, by 33-30. It is not a great team but it can say that it does not know what is to lose by that difference of goals, the maximum is 11 goals (23-34) precisely before Veszprem. The next biggest defeat would be by 9 goals difference (38-29) with Szeged (1 classified)
 
 The locals are going to win that everyone knows but the double duel of Champions may have diminished something and I do not know yes to win 12 points.
...

11
Brazil - Olimpiadas: Boxeo date: 13/05/2019  hour: 08:00
VS
individual individual
WON
Tip PP under 6.5% of votes.
Odds Stake 5/6 2
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Bet that is: Special - Politics - Elections Barcelona City Council 2019. The bet is that the PP will get less than 6.5% in votes.
 
 Well seeing the generals last week I think it is clear that the PP is giving its last throes and especially in Catalonia. The sector on the right has been occupied by C's and a little more to the right by VOX.
 
 Historically the PP had its niche of voters in the upper area of the city with purchasing power (Pedralbes, Les Corts and Sarrià-Sant Gervasi) but today the most "progressive" have gone to Citizens and the most " conservatives "did VOX.
 
 ERC has all the guts that will win them with Ernest Maragall in the lead even though some pro-independence vote will go away because of the candidate. The CUP, which is once presented, can collect some of those votes.
 
 In 2015 the peperos stayed with 8.32% and after these years (155, Cayetana, etc ...) it looks like it will go down and in these last elections they were left with 6.2% in the city of Barcelona.
...

12
International - Ajedrez date: 27/04/2019  hour: 15:00
VS
individual individual
WON
Tip Keymer or tie .
Odds Stake 26/19 1
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

We continue in the Grenk Classic and I go with a game that for my liking is more equal than the quotas. I will go in favor of the young German genius of 14 years, it is the best sub16 in the world.
 
 It is a difficult game for him since as in the whole tournament he plays against players of the world elite but it is seen that he comes from less to more. Defeats, tremendously normal, against Carlsen and Caruana. After one more defeat against Naiditsch and from there the thing changed, victory against his compatriot Meier.
 
 Gambit of lady variant Vienna and all the game Keymer was ahead until in the end a miscalculation of Meier making pawn h4 made the game was finished for him. The last game ended in a draw against Levon Aronian, one of the 10 best players in the world.
 
 His opponent is Svidler, who has gone the other way than Keymer as he comes from more to less with a loss and 2 draw in his last 3 games.
 
 Let's see what this German genius can offer us against the Russian GM, I am not saying that Peter is not a favorite but with this quota above par for the double result I have to prove it.
...

13
International - Ajedrez date: 23/04/2019  hour: 15:00
VS
individual individual
LOST
Tip Magnus Carlsen to win
Odds Stake 61/11 0.5
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Well, few times we go to see Carlsen without being a favorite, he has his explanation in the rival (Caruana), but to this quota it is necessary to prove it yes or yes.
 
 I was able to see the games against the young German genius Vincent Keymer where a Rey Indian girl was played, where in the middle game it was shown who is the best player in the world and where Magnus' horses were imposed on Keymer's bishops.
 
 In second round against Paco Vallejo also with blacks after a Spanish opening and exchange the queens in the middle game in the end the pawn of G was key because when eating it the Spaniard had to deliver quality and there Paco ended up losing although he was rocky looking for the 50 moves to make tables.
 
 In the last round against Viswanathan, he finished in a draw.
 
 Caruana made a draw against Svidler and Frenchman Vachier-Lagrave and in the last round won the young German Keymer.
 
 The normal thing is that the game ends in a draw but with the Norwegian form and a good quota it has to be tested with some coins. This is the Real Madrid-Barça of chess and although some come in better shape you never know what can happen. I expect a repeat of the last world championship where the Norwegian showed he is the best in the world if not the best in history.
 
 Let's see if there is luck and we see the Magnus Sicilian who is performing so well in the last games.
...

14
Brazil - Olimpiadas: Boxeo date: 28/04/2019  hour: 08:00
VS
individual individual
WON
Tip Unidas Podemos more votes than VOX
Odds Stake 13/8 2
WON
 Reasoning ...

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First of all this is a sensitive issue and I do not want to hurt sensitivities, that's why I'll go to facts, ignoring my opinion.
 
 Bet we found in the Special-Policy-General Elections of Spain 2019. The bet is that the purple party gets more votes than the Abascal party.
 
 According to all the UP polls, it would obtain a greater number of seats than VOX, thanks to the d'Hondt system it does not mean that it has a greater number of votes. Also the polls speak of 8-12% for the party of the extreme right and between 12-14% for the party of Pablo Iglesias.
 
 The unknown is in the undecided but for this bet I do not think it will affect much as that majority of that group of voters are going to play PSOE and C's.
 
 I think it will be even though in the end United we can get more seats, that's why I find it more interesting to go with them with the odds 1.40-2.63.
 
...

15
Brazil - Olimpiadas: Waterpolo date: 19/04/2019  hour: 11:30
VS
individual individual
LOST
Tip Win Olympiacos -1.5 .
Odds Stake 10/11 2
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

I'm going fast since I do not have much time, match corresponding to the semifinals of the women's Euro League between two Greek teams, Vouliagmeni and Olympiacos.
 
 The locals won Kirishi in the previous round by a 19-18 aggregate, losing away from home and winning at home by 2. In the preliminary group they won their matches except against Sabadell, the team that plays the other semi, by 7-12. The only serious match in Europe and a resounding defeat.
 
 The visitors were one of the favorites to win the title along with the Catalans of Sabadell. Group stage excellent spotted by the draw against Padova because of a bad last quarter. In the quarterfinals they beat Sant Andreu by a global score of 26-13.
 
 The direct confrontations are favorable to ours with a 13-8 and 9-5, in the Euro League editions of 2016 and 2015.
...

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