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Topics - tlop

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1
International - Ajedrez date: 10/04/2020  hour: 20:30
VS
individual individual
WON
Tip Carlsen wins the tournament
Odds Stake 1/1 5
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Magnus can win his own tournament (Magnus Carlsen Invitational), this is an online tournament with the largest prize pool for this type of tournament, $ 250,000. Its maximum rivals are Caruana, Liren or Vachier. The truth is that the tournament will have the best of the chess world.
 
 Carlsen is a real chess machine, and online and blitz is crazy. He had been waiting a few days to hang it but he was busy. I have just seen the semis of the Banter Cup (Dicharachera Cup in Spanish) against Sjugirov, player of almost 2700 (although in blitz it does not reach 2500) and I have seen him meridian.
 
 The tournament will start on April 18, will last two weeks and will feature eight of the best players on the planet, all the games will be shown on Chess24. It will be played at faster rates than usual in live tournaments. They will be 15 + 10 games, that is, 15 minutes per player for the entire game plus 10 seconds of increase per move.
 
 Anyone who does not know him very much can watch his games online in the commented Banter Cup, the Speedchess of years ago (he promotes the competition today) or usually plays tournaments in Lichess on Thursdays. It is true that all are at a faster pace than what is going to be played here but I do not see anyone surpassing it and more with what was seen in the Candidates tournament.
...

2
International - Ajedrez date: 26/03/2020  hour: 12:00
VS
individual individual
CANCELLED
Tip e4 is the first move
Odds Stake 16/11 1
CANCELLED
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Game between Caruana and Vachier. The bet is not easy since it is a bit of a coin.
 
 You can't upload it yesterday, it was at 2.70, in your game against Wang Hao and it came out. I am going to try to get him out again as he has not been too bad against the Chinese, it may be that the change of ladies as soon as it has taken away some offensive potential but in general there has been no problem although he could not win.
 
 Looking back, we see that last year Caruana played classic with White 3 times and on 3 he came out with e4, on 3 he played a Sicilian (on 2 occasions the Najdorf and on another the open one)
 
 TENÉIS A BET ON THE FINAL WINNER ON DAY 4, I SAY IT IN CASE YOU WANT TO TAKE A LOOK AT IT BEFORE THE FEE VARY.
...

3
International - Ajedrez date: 04/04/2020  hour: 12:00
VS
individual individual
Tip Nepo wins the candidate tournament
Odds Stake 5/2 1
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

We are in the middle of the tournament and we can already draw some conclusions seeing the game of each one. FIDE has already said that it will be played so there is no fear of cancellation.
 
 The bet is for Nepo to win the tournament, he just lost to Vachier today but I think he is the favorite. Both Bet and Marathon pay less than 3 and at that price it is difficult for me to enter.
 
 The favorites are Nepo and Vachier and on a third rung is Caruana (all this is in my opinion). The others including Liren, I consider impossible because although they can improve, it seems very strange that they can surpass these 3.
 
 I think that seeing what they have left for each one, the Russian is the player with the most options since it is his turn to play with white 4 of his 7 games and 2 of them are against the two maximum rivals (Caruana and Vachier) apart from his game against Alekseenko.
 
 Personally I would like Vachier to win since Liren is lazy but if I have to put money it seems more coherent to play with the boy in the bow tie.
...

4
International - Ajedrez date: 25/03/2020  hour: 12:00
VS
individual individual
WON
Tip Liren-Alekseenko tables
Odds Stake 18/19 1
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Seventh round of the candidate tournament after the break today. At the moment it continues celebrating despite the criticism of several players, where especially those of Grishchuk have been harsh.
 
 GM Liren started as one of the favorites to take the tournament and be able to challenge Carlsen but it has diluted like a sugar bowl. I don't know if it's the coranavirus or something else but he's not playing well, the only decent thing was his victory against Caruana in the second round. In the previous round against Nepo, despite losing, he had a move to achieve a draw with 31 Qf5 instead of Qg4 and then had 33 Rb6.
 
 Russian was not expected much and is already last with 2 points on 6. This does not mean that he is playing badly, from my point of view quite the opposite. He is showing much harder than expected although his attack is null.
 
 This bet is put on day 1 and I go with everything in favor of Liren but after 6 rounds watching the game of both I think the tables is a good idea. The Chinese has to press with White against the weaker opponent but if Alekseenko is able to hold in the middle of the game the tables will be close.
...

5
International - Ajedrez date: 18/03/2020  hour: 12:00
VS
individual individual
WON
Tip More than 42.5 movements
Odds Stake 9/8 1
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

The bet is on the game between Hao and Giri. The second day of the tournament arrives and both players are day and night, the Chinese beat his compatriot giving the surprise and Giri showed a bad image against Nepo.
 
 After the first day we have seen that all the games have reached the cut of the first 40 plays for which they have 100 minutes and thus obtain another 50 minutes. Unless there is a very serious error, it seems strange to see a game that does not reach 40 movements.
 
 In Hao's game he has reached 45 moves and Giri's despite going one point below since move 15 has endured 60 more plays and has not been able to achieve even the tables.
 
 In direct duels there is little that Hao has returned this year to the elite after dedicating himself to teaching the sport for years. They are all games from 2013 and the only one nearby was a quick one in 2018.
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6
International - Ajedrez date: 17/03/2020  hour: 12:00
VS
individual individual
LOST
Tip Win Ding Liren
Odds Stake 31/10 0.5
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

The super tournament begins for being the challenger of Magnus Carlsen to the world title with the best in the world and where chess lovers will enjoy a lot.
 
 The tournament comes with some controversy over the participation of Vachier-Lagrave, he was not classified despite one of the best players in the world. Teimour Radjabov resigned on the issue of coranavirus and Hao's non-quarantine. His replacement is French, it is said that Mr. Maxime has given him an extra little money so that his fear for the virus will increase.
 
 Departure between the Chinese GM Ding Liren and Wang Hao.
 
 Ding Liren along with Caruana are the favorites to take this tournament, the American because it is the best at the classical pace of all those who are here, and the Chinese for the good season.
 
 The history of clashes (Liren with white) is 4-4-1.
...

7
International - Ajedrez date: 13/11/2019  hour: 15:00
VS
individual individual
VOID
Tip Bet without a tie: Doubt, Jan-Krzysztof
Odds Stake 17/16 1
VOID
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Well, yesterday Duda did not pass the tie although I think he had a better position despite the pressure the horse was receiving in f2 but they decided to sign tables on move 33.
 
 I will not roll much since they do not have excessive follow-up these picks Chess, the truth is that it is almost nil.
 
 I'm going with the Polish again, I think yesterday was better. Today in fast games the Russian has a certain advantage, so he comes out as a favorite (3.30-2.68) in the bookmakers and also in ELO (2745-2753). But playing with white and Duda who accepted the tables quickly may have confidence in the game of fast rhythms.
 
 I think Doubt can at least force some boards and more by playing with white.
...

8
International - Ajedrez date: 12/11/2019  hour: 15:00
VS
individual individual
VOID
Tip Bet without a tie: Doubt, Jan-Krzysztof
Odds Stake 8/11 2
VOID
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

We return with chess after politics, it went quite well, and we go to the Hamburg tournament where the semis are already being celebrated.
 
 Departure between the great masters Dubov and Duda and as on some other occasion I go with the Polish, it is with Carlsen and some more of the players that I like the most.
 
 Yesterday the game ended in a draw after 29 moves. Doubt began with an Englishwoman to which the Russian player responded with a Tarrasch, it all ended in a tower and bishop end, in the end tables although they could have played something else.
 
 For today, despite Duda playing with blacks, I hope she will be more active and looking for victory, playing Dubov with white is expected a queen or English gambit that Duda played yesterday.
 
 The history among them is 4 tables and 1 victory of the Russian although 3 games were in rapid mode.
...

9
Polonia - Liga Siatkówki - Femenino date: 31/10/2019  hour: 18:00
VS
Bielsko-Biala Radomka Radom
WON
Tip Bielsko wins
Odds Stake 11/18 2
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

I go fast that I have little time left. We want the locals to take the game, Bet365 took the quota to 1.61 as it has WH but it has already dropped to 1.53.
 
 The visitors have started fatally the league with 4 defeats in as many matches included before today's rival for 1 to 3.
 
 The truth is that there is not much to say, the locals have started something better despite the two Last defeats and the visitors as I said have started horrible.
 
 Remember that they have already played this month with a favorable score for ours by 1 to 3, true that with somewhat adjusted sets but with the court factor in favor the Silesian girls must impose themselves.
...

10
Spain - Elecciones Generales date: 08/11/2019  hour: 09:00
VS
individual individual
WON
Tip More Country: less than 4.5 seats .
Odds Stake 11/13 2
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

This is political and can hurt sensitivities so I hope that if someone does not like what he reads here he will not take it to the personal field as it happened in the last elections.
 
 A lot of prominence is given to the Íñigo Errejón party, not only giving it the possibility of reaching all 4 seats but opening a market that Betfair doesn't even have.
 
 The polls before the sentence of the "procés" were 2.9% and between 3-4 seats, being the most optimistic would not exceed 4 seats and I think that after the little involvement in the subject Catalunya, neutral position although declared that the sentence is disproportionate, it will not achieve more.
 
 Then it has the disadvantage of not showing up in all of Spain which causes it to only obtain representation in Madrid and Valencia.
...

11
International - Ajedrez date: 18/10/2019  hour: 16:00
VS
individual individual
VOID
Tip Bet without a draw: Aronian, Levon
Odds Stake 29/11 0.5
VOID
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Round 8 of the Great Swiss of the Isle of Man and the first two play, two roosters that I hope will show the good.
 
 As the bookmaker marks the American is the favorite, first because it is better and secondly that White always gives some advantage. The global is from 12 to 8 for the American and 23 tables. But with the same idea as yesterday with that of the boy Anton, I think it is a more even game than the odds 3.85-12.5.
 
 This year they have faced 7 times with only 2 losses for the Armenian. The last game was in the Sinquefield Cup where the American won after a Spanish opening and after 50 moves two past pawns decided the game and the Armenian had to yield.
 
 The problem is the rhythm of the game because the longer there are (classic) the better the American has it but still I think it is almost disrespectful to place this quota being who he is. Yesterday he won Wang, Hao who was a leader and with whom Caruana could not pass the tables in round 4.
...

12
International - Ajedrez date: 17/10/2019  hour: 16:00
VS
individual individual
VOID
Tip Bet without a tie: Antón Guijarro, David
Odds Stake 15/14 1
VOID
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Great Swiss Tournament of the Isle of Man and we are already in Round 7, we will go with the Spanish player.
 
 David is making a great tournament with 4.5 points tied to points with the best of the international scene (Carlsen, Aronian, Grishuk, etc ...) and only half a point from the head of the tournament that are Caruana and Wang.
 
 Comes of beating Lenderman, a player over 2600, and making boards for Karjakin. I do not think he is better than his rival but wearing white, good dynamics and the best share I think it is a success to go with him.
 
 The faces were seen at the beginning of the year finishing the game in tables.
...

13
Brazil - Olimpiadas: Atletismo date: 28/09/2019  hour: 20:00
VS
individual individual
LOST
Tip Win Letesenbet Gidey
Odds Stake 7/2 1
LOST
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

End of the 10,000 women where there are 3 runners who stand out from the others. The favorite for bookmakers is the Dutch Sifan Hassan, followed by our broker and the Kenyan Obiri.
 
 Gidey has rationed more his participation in races, in July in the Ethiopian Trials played in Holland he left the clock at 30: 37,89.
 
 Your maximum rival as I said is Hassan, a rival who in case of a tight final can win because she has a better final because she is an athlete who runs in shorter distances where more explosion is needed. This year it has run about 10,000 meters with a time of 31:18, 12.
 
 You have broken the mile record this year with 4: 12.33 but it is a very different distance from this test.
 
 And the third in discord is Obiri that this year has played two tests of this distance with times of 31: 25.38 and 31: 43.00.
 
 The best mark of the year of the 3 is from our broker, it is the only one that has dropped from 31 minutes. The Dutchwoman may be a favorite but at these rates I prefer Ethiopia.
...

14
International - Ajedrez date: 27/09/2019  hour: 12:00
VS
individual individual
VOID
Tip Win Ding, Liren. Bet without a draw
Odds Stake 13/15 2
VOID
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

World Chess Championship and we are already in semis. I'm going to focus on the semi between the two Chinese players. On the one hand GM Yu, Yangyi and his rival GM Ding Liren.
 
 I understand that the odds are matched by today's game where despite the tables Yu has been ahead in the game until starting from move 20 they have started with simple moves with fear of losing.
 
 The reality is that our player is better than his opponent as his history shows, except in blitz games the history is favorable to world number 3.
 
 Most likely, the games end up in tables but if either of them can be imposed, that is Liren. Right now he is the favorite to take the title (2.50 by 4.50 of his rival)
 
 If they are money back tables.
...

15
International - Ajedrez date: 04/09/2019  hour: 18:00
VS
individual individual
WON
Tip Win Artemiev HA0
Odds Stake 30/29 2
WON
 Reasoning ...

This is an automatic translation from Spanish. Please check here the source tip

Match corresponding to the round of 16 of the Speed Chess, for those who do not know it is an online tournament organized by the Chess.com platform. In this tournament there is the loss of the best player in the world as it sponsors the competition so it loses some level compared to other years.
 
 The games are distributed in 3 times (5 + 3, 3 + 2 and 1 + 1) and the one with the most points wins. The tournament has an important prize pool ($ 100,000 and they are distributed according to the victories). Winner: $ 1,000 and goes to the 2nd round and $ 1,000 distributed according to percentage of victories.
 
 I'm going to the game between Artemiev and Grishchuk, duel between Russian GMs. The blitz game format is favorable to our player. In a classic tournament I would go with his rival but here I think that especially in the fastest times it can be imposed.
 
 They have only played 3 games in blitz mode and two of them have been won by Artemiev. The ELO is quite similar with 2779 for the first and 2741 for the second. Although his ELO is more for the past than for his recent results; in the Altibox Norway Chess Blitz was last with 3/9, in Paris if he achieved a good result with 7.5 points and a third place.
 
 Departure where Artemiev is slightly favorite and on top at a better rate.
...

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