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Messages - alonsete69

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1
Spain - LaLiga date: 13/07/2020  hour: 19:30
VS
Deportivo Alaves Getafe
Tip Getafe More than 51.5% possession
Odds Stake 4/5 3
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Reasoning ...

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Game where we will go with the ball possession where I hope we can find 52% possession for Getafe.
 
 I hope that in this match we will have Getafe keep the power of the ball and that Alavés will lock himself back, I can expect something similar as in the previous match with Getafe with more than 55% possession as he went to 61%.
 
 In this match Getafe plays Europe and Alavés plays salvation.
 
 We have found in previous matches that Alaves comes from having very adverse results with 6 losses in a row so we can find an Alavés with very bad feelings so I hope he leaves the power of the ball in Geta and stay more closed.
...

2
Spain - LaLiga date: 13/07/2020  hour: 19:30
VS
Deportivo Alaves Getafe
Tip Mauro Arambarri over 35 passes
Odds Stake 19/10 2
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Reasoning ...

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Game where we are going to go with the passes of Mauro Arambarri where he has to have at least 36 passes for the green.
 
 He is a player who plays in the midfield of Getafe where I hope his team can have possession, his average is not too high at the moment he has given 824 passes with an average of 25.75 passes.
 
 If the Uruguayan player plays at the start, I think we can see this average being surpassed since I think he may have the weight of the team. In the player's matches we will see his passes:
 
 Against Espanyol 40 passes. GREEN
 In front of Eibar 39 passes. GREEN
 In front of Valladolid 32 passes. RED
 In front of Real Sociedad 25 passes. RED
 In front of Real Madrid 14 passes. RED
 In front of Osasuna 35 passes. RED
 In front of Villareal 32 passes. RED
 
 As we see the green we do not have it in many games, but in games in which we see more possession for the Madrid team we can have more ball, in the games where we have the red in many of them the green is close and surpassing in many of them the 30 passes, and in many of these games it has been with teams that dominate the game a lot, I expect something similar to the two green ones as against Espanyol and Eibar.
...

3
Spain - LaLiga date: 13/07/2020  hour: 19:30
VS
Deportivo Alaves Getafe
Tip 2-3 Cards in the first half
Odds Stake 6/5 1
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Reasoning ...

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Match where we are going to go with the warnings in the first half of the match where we look for at least 2 and less than 3 for the green.
 
 Both teams are prone to fouls and receive warnings so it is not crazy that they go above and beyond in the yellows shown.
 
 Getafe is one of the teams that commits the most fouls in the league, it comes from having the following warnings in its matches:
 
 Against Granada 4 cards RED
 Against Espanyol 3 cards GREEN
 Against Eibar 1 card. RED
 Against Valladolid 3 cards. GREEN
 Against Real Sociedad 3 cards VERDE
 Against Real Madrid 4 cards. RED
 In front of Osasuna 3 cards. VERDE
 In front of Villareal 0 cards. RED
 
 We have 4 greens and 3 reds, two of the reds are the injury time so it is very likely that we will see those 3 cards in the first half.
 
 
 In Alavés matches we have the following results:
 
 Against Espanyol 3 cards VERDE
 Against Real Sociedad 1 card. RED
 Against Celta 3 cards. GREEN
 In front of Osasuna 1 card. RED
 Against Atleti 2 cards. GREEN
 In front of Granada 1 card. RED
 Against Valladolid 3 cards. GREEN
 In front of Real Madrid 0 cards. RED
 
 We have 4 greens and 3 reds arriving with the same statistics as their rival so I hope we can see at least 1 yellow again for each team.
 
 In his previous confrontation in the first leg, we found 2 yellow cards in the first half, two red cards with only 1 yellow, another green with 2 and another with 3, so in his last 5 games we have that in none of they have exceeded the 3 cards, giving 2 reds with 1 yellow and the rest green.
 
 The referee may be one of the most cardinal Pablo Gonzalez Fuertes who comes from having 5.94 yellows per game with 32.41 fouls on average. In his matches he comes from having:
 
 Espanyol - Alaves 3 cards.
 Atletico - Valladolid 0 cards.
 Bilbao - Mallorca 0 cards.
 Celta - Betis 1 card.
 
 We do not have good feelings where we only found 1 green, but with the two teams we have it is feasible to have at least 2 cards in this first half.
...

4
Spain - LaLiga date: 12/07/2020  hour: 22:00
20
Sevilla Mallorca
WON
Tip More than 3.5 Game Outs
Odds Stake 15/13 2
WON
 Reasoning ...

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Game where we are going to go with the offside of the meeting between the two teams, we need at least 4, with the VAR machinery the offside is increasing and with teams like Sevilla many are often seen in matches.
 
 We have that Sevilla comes from having in the 35 games played 2.4 offside.
 We have that Mallorca comes from having in the 35 games played 1.6 offside.
 
 With the socks we go to what we need in the pick, in the previous match between them we saw up to 7 offside being 5 from Sevilla, I can expect that at least Sevilla has 3 and 1 Mallorca.
 
 
...

5
Spain - LaLiga date: 12/07/2020  hour: 22:00
20
Sevilla Mallorca
LOST
Tip Asian Handicap Fouls: -2 Mallorca
Odds Stake 5/4 2
LOST
 Reasoning ...

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Game where we are going to go with the fouls in the game where we need Mallorca to have 3 more fouls than Sevilla for the green, I hope that the possession of the match is for Sevilla and has the weight of the match.
 
 In the facet of fouls we find that Sevilla has that in the 35 games played so far 484 fouls committed, being an average of 13.83 and of received 454 being the average of 12.97.
 
 In the facet of fouls we find that Mallorca has in the 35 games played so far 478 fouls committed, an average of 13.66 and received 481 being the average of 13.74.
 
 As we see the averages are similar in the facet but I can expect Mallorca more nervous than Sevilla, in addition to going to be longer behind the ball.
 
 In the previous match we have that Mallorca finished with 15 fouls for Sevilla's 12, we need something similar in this, to have the green.
 
 
 
...

6
Spain - LaLiga date: 12/07/2020  hour: 19:30
10
Leganes Valencia
WON
Tip Asian Handicap Possession: Valencia -3
Odds Stake 6/7 2.5
WON
 Reasoning ...

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Game where we will go with possession of the ball where I hope Valencia can have at least 52% for the green.
 
 The Valencian team has better players playing the ball and the parei is played more in this match, since for me Leganés is practically relegated, even though he will fight in this match I hope he does not have the ball.
 
 We also have to be nervous the locals and may have some expelled that at the time of possession would benefit us, if a goal fits Valencia the same since they will play locked up behind.
 
 The possession of Valencia is 49.3% and that of Leganés is 45.6%.
 
 In the previous confrontation between them they were in possession of 63% Valencia and 37% Leganés, in truth we can expect something similar in this match.
...

7
Spain - LaLiga date: 12/07/2020  hour: 17:00
12
Levante Athletic Bilbao
LOST
Tip More than 26.5 fouls in the match
Odds Stake 15/13 2
LOST
 Reasoning ...

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Game where we are going to go with the fouls in the game where we looked for green at least 27, we find in this game with two teams that do not play anything, simply the 3 points since both have the permanence assured, but the Atletic are played, although they have it very difficult since it is 3 points from Real Sociedad.
 
 I hope you can dominate the lions more in this match although Levante may also want to say something in this match.
 
 Levante has had 12.3 fouls per game committed and 12.2 fouls in favor, leaving on average 24.5 fouls per match. In the last matches we came to see the following fouls.
 
 Against Valencia 11 fouls blown for and 13 against with 24 totals. Alberola Rojas.
 Against Sevilla 10 whistle blows for and 12 against with 22 totals. Hernández Hernandez.
 In front of Espanyol 11 fouls blown for and 11 against with 22 totals. From the Cerro Grande.
 Against Atleti 14 fouls blown for and 12 against with 26 totals. Munuera Montero.
 Against Betis 14 fouls blown in favor and 13 with 27 totals. Jaime Latre.
 Against Valladolid, 10 fouls blown for and 12 against with 22 totals. Medie Jimenez.
 Against Real Sociedad 12 whistles blown for and 17 against with 29 totals. Pizarro Gomez
 Against Mallorca 11 fouls blown for and 20 against with 37 totals. Soto Grado.
 
 We have that in all the games the two teams exceed the two figures in the fouls in a more or less clear way, so that of the 20 fouls we pass with confidence, a collegiate match of this match between them with 24 fouls close to the figures we are looking for.
 
 At the moment it is possible to have aspirations in this match for Europe, so I hope that they will enter the match with more or less intensity. He currently has an average of 13.9 fouls per game committed and received of 11.7 per game, leaving his average at 25.6 fouls.
 
 From Atletic we have the following figures:
 
 Against Atleti 10 whistles for and 9 against with 19 totals. Gonzalez Gonzalez.
 Faced against Eibar 10 whistles for and 11 against with 21 totals. Prieto Iglesias.
 Against Betis 11 fouls blown for and 16 against with 27 totals. Pizarro Gomez
 Faced against Barcelona 10 whistle blows for and 16 against with 26 total. Gil Manzano
 Against Mallorca 16 fouls blown for and 17 against with 33 totals. Gonzalez Fuertes.
 Against Valencia 9 fouls blown for and 12 against with 21 totals. Estrada Fernandez.
 Faced against Real Madrid 8 fouls blown for and 13 against with 21 totals. Gonzalez Gonzalez.
 Against Sevilla 9 whistle blows for and 18 against with 27 totals. Medi Jimenez.
 
 We have that in this match Atletic is one of the most fouled and I hope we can see that it exceeds the number of 15 fouls in this match, from Levante I hope we can find that it reaches at least 12 on average it has to be more comfortable in the pick.
 
 
 The Referee is Alberola Rojas, his average of fouls is low seeing other players and with a lot of tendency to the law of advantage being things that do not help us in the pick, to Bilbao two games whistled with an average of 12 fouls and Levante 3 games with an average of 11.67, looking at the two averages we find 23.67 fouls that I can expect. The average of the referee is 25.78 per game.
 
 In his last matches he has had:
 
 Valencia - Levante 24 fouls.
 Getafe - Eibar 33 fouls.
 
 I have a few games left but I don't have time.
 
 
 In their previous confrontation the same referee also lived and left with 26 fouls in the match.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
...

8
Spain - LaLiga date: 12/07/2020  hour: 14:00
02
Espanyol Eibar
LOST
Tip Asian Corners Handicap: -1 Eibar
Odds Stake 7/5 0.5
LOST
 Reasoning ...

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Game where we are going to go with the corner kicks where we should see Eibar throw more than the parakeets where in this case we have to see 2 more for the green.
 
 I expect more attacks from Eibar where they are the most played in this match since Espanyol is down.
 
 Eibar comes from having the following corner kicks:
 
 Against Real Madrid 3 corners with 3 from Madrid. RED
 In front of Bilbao 8 corners with 3 from Bilbao. VERDE
 In front of Getafe 1 corners with 2 from Getafe. RED
 Against Valencia 10 corners with 8 from Valencia. GREEN
 In front of Granada 5 corners with 8 from Granada. RED
 In front of Osasuna 9 corners with 4 from Osasuna. VERDE
 Facing Sevilla 8 corners with 11 from Sevilla. ROJO
 Against Leganes 8 corners with 1 from Leganés.
 
 We have seen a lot of corners from Eibar in the last games, so I can expect them to get at least 5 or more in this one.
 
 From Espanyol we have to:
 
 In front of Alaves 2 corners with 1 from Alavés. RED
 In front of Getafe 5 corneres with 5 from Getafe. RED
 In front of Levante 8 corners with 5 from Levante. RED
 Against Betis 5 corners with 6 from Betis. NULL
 In front of Real Madrid 0 corners with 5 from Madrid. VERDE
 Against Real Sociedad 3 corners with 4 from Real Sociedad. NULL
 In front of Leganés 0 corners with 3 from Leganés. VERDE
 In front of Barcelona 5 corners with 6 from Barcelona. NULL
 
 We have been in the last 5 games or green or null, agreeing that the team fell apart and now that we have it in second it may be that they let themselves be carried in the game with the passage of minutes as far as we can find something strange in this match.
...

9
Spain - LaLiga date: 12/07/2020  hour: 14:00
02
Espanyol Eibar
LOST
Tip Asian Handicap Ball Possession: -3 Eibar
Odds Stake 6/7 3
LOST
 Reasoning ...

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Game where we will go with possession of the ball where I hope we can see that Eibar dominates in this facet, which is played more than its rival since with a victory you can get away from relegation, with a defeat or draw you can enter fear into the body.
 
 We have that Espannyol is second so I hope that at some point and without an audience you can leave the game, in the previous game between them Eibar left with 58% possession, in the last game in Spanish field with 54%. In principle we have everything in favor in this pick where we only have to see 52% possession for the green.
 
...

10
England - Premier League date: 12/07/2020  hour: 13:00
30
Wolverhampton Wanderers Everton
LOST
Tip Handicao Asiatico Total cards: More than 4
Odds Stake 15/13 1
LOST
 Reasoning ...

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Game where we are going to go with the number of warnings in the game where I expect at least 5 to be shown for the green, with 4 we would have the null.
 
 In this match with what they have at stake I hope that both teams see a card, Wolves is playing Europe so I hope they can get nervous and that we see some card even in the first half. Everton is also prone to seeing them too.
 
 The referee is one of the ones I like the most for this type of match, it is Anthony Taylor who comes from having an average of 4 cards per match so we can expect him to come out at least null in this match if he respects his average .
 
 To Everton in 3 games 4 cards shown and to Wolves 4 games 9 cards.
 
 What fills me with optimism is that this same braid led him in the first leg with a performance in the warnings that green would give us with 6 cards and an expulsion, being green from the 63rd minute, hopefully in this match we can find something similar.
 
...

11
England - Premier League date: 12/07/2020  hour: 13:00
30
Wolverhampton Wanderers Everton
WON
Tip Raul Jimenez More than 2.5 Shots
Odds Stake 9/10 2
WON
 Reasoning ...

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Game where we are going to go with the Mexican player of Wolves where I hope we can see 3 shots regardless of where they go since they all add up, this player usually dunks against Everton, I expect a game in which they go for the game given what they have at stake and Everton playing less.
 
 In the last 3 games he has scored 3 goals so we have to take this into account for this facet if anyone wants to risk a little, or 1.57 1 shot on goal, the goal at 2.62.
 
 Well this player has 34 games played in the premiere where he has 15 goals scored, 3 of them from the penalty spot, very dangerous in the air balls with 5 goals and the others with their feet.
 
 His average shot is 3.2 per game, so in principle we should have this pick in green. In the games played after the confinement we find that he has:
 
 Against West Ham 4 shots, scoring.
 Opposite Bournemouth 1 shot.
 In front of Aston Villa 3 auctions.
 Against Arsenal 1 shot.
 Facing Sheffield 0 spikes.
 
 Hopefully, as it is a team that usually does well this in this shooting average.
 
 
...

12
England - Premier League date: 12/07/2020  hour: 13:00
30
Wolverhampton Wanderers Everton
WON
Tip Michael Keane Over 46.5 Passes
Odds Stake 5/6 1.5
WON
 Reasoning ...

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Game where we are going to go with the English central of Everton where we have a game in which we should see that the domain is exercised by the local team since it is the one that is playing something, but I hope that Everton can have possession tied with her rival.
 
 This player is Everton's usual center back and comes from having a 226 minutes played in 24 games, having an average of 42.5 passes, comes from playing 5 games and being all minutes from confinement.
 
 In these matches he has given the following passes:
 
 Against Liverpool 29 passes with 29% possession. RED
 Against Norwich 68 passes MVP of the games and with 53% of possession. GREEN
 Versus Leicester 32 passes with 35% possession RED
 Versus Tothenham 66 passes with 48% possession. VERDE
 Against Southamton 45 passes with 38% possession. RED
 
 As we can see, he is a central defender who usually passes the ball through him, so I expect a game in which he will go above 40 passes if we have an equal possession.
...

13
Spain - LaLiga date: 11/07/2020  hour: 17:00
21
Osasuna Celta Vigo
LOST
Tip Iago Aspas 3 or more auctions
Odds Stake 11/10 2
LOST
 Reasoning ...

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Game where we are going to go with Aspas in the auctions whether they are made on goal, outside or blocked, where it is necessary to have 3 to reach the objective.
 
 This player is for me the best of the team since he puts his team behind him and fights all kinds of balls. We are going with this pick since I hope they are in danger with fouls or a penalty and the occasional shot by the Galician player, it is not a very high figure but there are several shots and I do not think he will play the 90 minutes, although with what they have game ...
 
 It comes from having 34 games played with 13 goals scored, where he has finished 79 times, with an average of 2.53 per game, so I hope we will definitely see 2.
...

14
England - Premier League date: 11/07/2020  hour: 13:30
04
Norwich City West Ham United
WON
Tip Isa Diop over 33.5 passes
Odds Stake 5/6 0.5
WON
 Reasoning ...

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Game where we are going to go with the passes of one of the West Han centrals where he should give at least 34 to get the green.
 
 He comes from playing 28 game matches, every minute possible so he is starting and will play every minute except injury.
 
 His average is 29.79 passes per game, so it should be for those amounts in games where his team does not have much possession, against this I hope that he can go over 40 passes with at least one equalized possession .
 
 In recent games he has made the following passes:
 
 Against the Wolves, 40 passes with 42% possession.
 Facing Tottenham 28 passes with 35% possession.
 Versus Chelsea 14 with 28% possession.
 Versus Newcastle 30 with 42% possession.
 Burnley 34 Front with 53% possession.
 
 As we see in similar games in possession of usually goes up in the passes, so I hope that something similar happens against the bottom.
 
 
 
...

15
England - Premier League date: 11/07/2020  hour: 13:30
04
Norwich City West Ham United
WON
Tip Angelo Ogbonna Over 33.5 passes
Odds Stake 5/6 2
WON
 Reasoning ...

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Game where we are going to go with the passes of one of the West Han centrals where he should give at least 34 to get the green.
 
 It comes from playing 27 games for a total of 2430 minutes of play, every minute possible so it is starting and will play every minute except injury.
 
 His average is 31.1 passes per game, so it should be for those amounts in games where his team does not have much possession, against this I hope that he can go over 40 passes with at least one equalized possession .
 
 In recent games he has taken the following passes:
 
 Facing Chelsea 21 with 28% possession.
 Versus Newcastle 36 with 42% possession.
 Frente Burnley 44 with 53% possession.
 
 As we see in similar games in possession of usually goes up in the passes, so I hope that something similar happens against the bottom.
 
 In addition, the local team, already almost descended, may just wait behind.
 
...

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