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Round of 16 match of the UK Championship between Belgian player Luca Brecel (world number 40) against Englishman Anthony Hamilton (world number 56).
First of all to comment, bet available in some bookmakers, for example in Bet365 and in Bwin we have the under 0.5 hundred of Brecel at a odds of 2, and in Marathonbet at a current odds of 2.13.
Now the question you can ask yourself, what do we need to get it right?
Well, first of all, this type of bets is independent of the result of the match, that is, we do not care which player wins the match, to get it right we need Brecel not to get 100 or more points in an entry at the table, this This means that once you start to get points, it does not reach 100 consecutively, that is, it does not have an entry at the table without failure in the score until it reaches 100.
This from one perspective or another may seem like a lot or a little, it also depends on the player, there are certain players on the circuit who do it regularly and easily and others who find it more difficult.
We could place Luca Brecel in an intermediate term, a player who aimed quite high 2-3 seasons ago, he won the China Championship and the Championship League as outstanding tournaments, as well as a final in the German Masters. Player who still has room for improvement but let's say he is not meeting expectations and that is that he became number 11 in the world.
In the hundreds section, which is what interests us, we have positive numbers in global terms for the bet, starting from last season, where Brecel played a total of 40 games, in which he got a total of 12 hundreds, where we see that it does not even reach 0.5 hundred per game.
This season he has played a total of 21 games, in which he has achieved a total of 4 hundred, so far this tournament, he has won a total of 3 games, in which only in his victory against Tom Ford by 6 -5, managed to make a hundred.
Perhaps the section that gives me the most respect is the duration of the game, I find that it will be at the best of 11 frames, the first to win 6 accesses the quarterfinals, where they will have chances to enter the table.
To finish and complement the analysis, add that these two players have met in a total of 7 games, with 5 victories for Hamilton and 2 for Brecel, as regards our bet, very good numbers, and that is that so far Brecel has not yet achieved a hundred against Hamilton, the most a break of 98 points on one occasion.
Therefore in global terms, a bet that in the long term has value in this sense, obviously to a single party, any situation is possible, something that I like to highlight a lot is that you have to be prudent and patient, but I repeat it is a bet with logic and sense, regardless of whether it comes out or not.
Let's hope that Hamilton's slow pace of play, he is the 3rd slowest player on the circuit with an average between shot and shot of 30 seconds, and the fact that there is a pass to the quarterfinals will not leave Brecel show off all your offensive potential.
We are going with a 1.5 stake.
Greetings and good luck.
