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We are going with this over of 29.5 fouls in this match between Getafe and Huesca.
Those who follow the Spanish league know very well that Getafe is one of the teams that fouls the most and that there are fewer minutes played in their matches than in other matches.
In my opinion I don't think it's because they are "dirty". I think it is a team with a very high and intense pressure that does not let its rival play. They play their game very well and for me it is totally respectable.
Huesca, meanwhile, have just changed coach. Their coach is Pacheta and I think they will not change their style of play much but what I am sure of is that the coach is going to ask them for an extra intensity and that can be reflected in fouls.
I have not been able to find the stats of Pacheta with Elche from last season but looking at the stats of some matches I have come to find that there were matches in which they made 30 fouls in a single match.
Pacheta has declared that they are going to play a brave football game and they are going to try to be the ones in charge of the game. He says they are not going to back down.
Also in the promotion playoff they did not lose 15 fouls and averaged almost 18 fouls per game.
I think that being their first game they will show the same intensity and more considering that they are last and have salvation at 6 points.
Getafe is not to throw rockets either. They are down to only 3 points and are not showing the defensive solidity of years ago.
Getafe averages 16.9 fouls per game and receives 13.8 fouls per game, while Huesca averages 14.8 fouls and receives 14.3 fouls per game.
As I said, Huesca's foul stats are with Michel on the bench. I think Pacheta is going to give it an extra point of intensity that can raise that average a bit.
The Getafe with the incorporations of Kubo and Aleñá seems that they are going to propose something more of the game and try to have more possession but surely Bordalás demands sacrifice from them.
In Aleñá's debut he already had to work a lot on defense and had to make 3 fouls. For this game I hope that they continue on the same path.
I have made the sum of the average fouls of the players who are supposed to start the game of each team and the Getafe eleven leaves us an average of fouls higher than 14 fouls per game and the Huesca eleven leaves us a average of 11.9 fouls per game.
If we add to this what the players from the bench like Nyom (who averages almost 2 fouls per game) or Doumbia or Nwakali who can foul one without problems I think they can raise the average a lot.
The referee will be Medie Jimenez. It is the reason why the stake is low since it averages more than 26 fouls per game.
He has refereed Getafe 5 times and averages 14.6 fouls per game with that referee and 4 against Huesca and has called them 14.5 fouls.
In summary, I expect a very disputed match with alternate domains. I expect a lot of fight to have possession of the ball and we are sure that we see fouls in all parts of the field, both in attack and defense, since both Mata and Rafa Mir tend to commit quite a few fouls.